Supercomputer predicts 80/1 Shot Enjoy D’Allen will win the 2023 Grand National

Image via @Coral on Twitter

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As anticipation builds toward the 2023 Grand National on Saturday 15th April, historical data from each of the race’s previous winners finds Enjoy D’allen to have the best chance of galloping to victory and taking this year’s prize. The GrandNational.org.uk Supercomputer analysed the traits from all winning horses since the first race in 1839, and statistically, the winner of the iconic race is a nine-year old horse with an owner named John. Of the confirmed 2023 runners, Enjoy D’allen matches this description perfectly, aged nine and owned by John McManus. While not providing an exact match for the typical starting price of a Grand National champ (typically 20/1), current odds show that he does provide good value at 80/1, so he’ll earn punters plenty of cash if he wins.

Top Five Winning Handicap

RankHandicap (st-lb)Number of Wins
110-0713
210-0011
310-0611
410-129
511-009

Various other factors can be considered lucky for Grand National winners – a horse with a handicap of 10st 7lbs typically wins. In 2023’s field, Diol Ker and Minella Trump – both aged nine – whilst not exactly matching, come closest with a handicap of 10-8 and 10-6 respectively.

When it comes to trainers, 11 previous winners have been called Tom, with George (8), Fred and James (both 7) trailing closely behind, but just one of this year’s runners is trained by a Thomas – 40/1 priced Velvet Elvis.

Top Five Winning Jockey Names

RankName of JockeyNumber of Wins
1John11
2Tommy11
3George8
4Arthur7
5Bill4

Whilst this year’s riders are yet to be announced, historically a jockey named John (11) or Tommy (11) have the most wins. In total, their names account for over a tenth of all Grand National winning jockeys (13%). Only eight horses can boast the claim of being a multiple-time winner, but with last year’s victor, Noble Yeats (8/1) in the running again, there’s potential for a ninth horse to be added to the list.

A spokesperson for GrandNational.org.uk said: “Our research shows that historically, nine-year old horses, with an owner named John, race best in the Grand National, making Enjoy D’allen a strong pick, despite being priced at 80/1.

“The historical traits of previous horses can be worth considering when having a flutter on the Grand National. This typically goes against the bookmaker’s favourites, so will Enjoy D’allen – and our Supercomputer – beat the bookies? We’ll find out very soon.”

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Grandnational.org.uk aim to provide you with the best unofficial guide to the Aintree Grand National, including everything from this year’s runners and riders and the latest news, through to the best betting offers, how and where to watch the race, and much more.

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