The Welsh Grand National 2021
The Welsh Grand National is a handicap chase run over three miles and six and a half furlongs at Chepstow racecourse between Christmas and New Year. The race is one of the most important staying chases of the season and is run over two circuits and a bit at Chepstow and there are 23 obstacles. Since 2003, two winners have won the Grand National and two have won the Cheltenham Gold Cup.
There is always no racing in Britain and Ireland for three days before Christmas and on Christmas day, but racing always starts up again on Boxing Day. However, the scheduled Coral Welsh Grand National 2020 on the 27th December was called off due to waterlogging. The next edition of this horse race festival will be on January 9, 2021, at Chepstow.
Betting on the Welsh Grand National 2021
Bookmakers settle bets on the first four places at one quarter the odds in line with standard terms. However, some bookmakers payout on the first five finishers. The best bets on this event are placed in ante-post markets. Most bookmakers offer Best Odds Guaranteed on the race. Bets are settled on the biggest price available which could have been early odds or the starting price.
During that period between Christmas and the New Year, the Welsh Grand National is one of the feature races. This race is also a good trial for the Grand National at Aintree in April. Once the result was known some of the horses that ran well appeared in lists of Grand National tips and the horses that run well in the race often attract attention in the Aintree Grand National betting markets straight after if also entered in that Liverpool race.
The 2020 race was run in January 2021, as the usual Chepstow Racecourse venue. The ante post favourite was Secret Reprieve, trained by Evan Williams in Wales and ridden by Adam Wedge. The seven-year-old carried horse 10-01 and looked like a handicap good thing.
The gelding was well backed on the day of the race and duly obliged by three lengths as the 5/2 favourite. The Welsh Grand National 2021 was a handicap as always that attracted 18 runners so the standard place terms were one quarter the win odds for four places.
Welsh National Runners 2021
Secret Reprieve won the race as a well-backed favourite. The horse had only run eight times before winning the Welsh Grand National 2021. The winning horse had only contested five chases and had one win and two second-place finishes.
Secret Reprieve is a seven-year-old gelding, out of the sire Flemensfirth and dam Oscar’s Reprieve. He is owned by Mr and Mrs William Rucker.
The winner has several pounds in hand at the weights and recorded an impressive win which rarely looked in doubt. He made smooth headway in the second half of the race, was second five fences from home and took the lead at the third last. The decisive win was achieved despite the horse’s girth coming undone. Secret Reprieve is now a leading contender for the Aintree Grand National.
Here is the official result for Welsh Grand National 2021:
|1||Secret Reprieve||5/2 fav||Evan Williams||Adam Wedge|
|2||The Two Amigos||9/1||Nicky Martin||Matt Griffiths|
|3||Yala Enki||12/1||Paul Nicholls||Bryony Frost|
|4||Captain Drake||28/1||Harry Fry||Bryan Carver|
|5||Prime Venture||16/1||Evan Williams||Tom O’Brien|
|6||Bobo Mac||16/1||Tom Symonds||AP Heskin|
Some bookmakers paid out on the first six places.
Welsh Grand National Betting Trends
The most recent dual of this competition are Bonanza Boy (1988 and 1989) and Mountainous (2013 and 2014). The winning jockey in 2018 was Tom O’Brien who also rode the winner in 2009. He is the only multiple winning jockey this century.
Colin Tizzard has now trained the winner in two of the last 4 years.
Trends and Past Winners for Welsh Grand National 2021
Here are records of recent Grand National winners and some key trends:
Recent Welsh National Winners
2021 – Secret Reprieve (5/2 fav)
2019 – Potters Corner (8/1)
2018 – Elegant Escape (3/1 fav)
2017 – Raz De Maree (16/1)
2016 – Native River (11/4 fav)
2015 – Mountainous (9/1)
2014 – Emperor’s Choice (9/1)
2013 – Mountainous (20/1)
2012 – Monbeg Dude (10/1)
2011 – Le Beau Bai (10/1)
2010 – Synchronised (5/1)
2009 – Dream Alliance (20/1)
2008 – Notre Pere (16/1)
2007 – Miko de Beauchene (13/2)
2006 – Halcon Genelardais (7/1)
2005 – L’Aventure (14/1)
2004 – Silver Birch (10/3 fav)
2003 – Bindaree (10/1)
2002 – Mini Sensation (8/1)
Key Welsh National Betting Trends
18/18 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
18/18 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
17/18 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
16/18 – Aged 9 or younger
16/18 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
14/18 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
12/18 – Aged 8 or younger
12/18 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
11/18 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
12/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/18 – Irish bred
8/18 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
7/18 – Unplaced favourites
7/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – French-bred
5/18 – Had run in the Welsh National before
5/18 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
4/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/18 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/18 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average SP of the winners over the last 18 years is about 10/1. Elegant Escape was aged six when winning in 2018 so is the youngest winner this century. Since 2010 three of the winners carried 11 stones or more. Native River carried most weight when winning the race in 2016.
Since 2002 seven winners of this horse race started at double figure odds. The winning horses were in the SP range from 4/1 to 20/1. Twelve winners were returned at less than 10/1 which is relatively high for such a competitive handicap.
Some of the horses that ran well in this horse racing competition became leading contenders and popular Grand National tips. Both races are run over extreme distances which means horses that are suited to the Welsh Grand National are also suited to the main Grand National.
Welsh Grand National Bets To Avoid
There is usually a field of 20 runners in this horse race competition so it is difficult to identify the winner. The race is a handicap which means each horse is weighted on form and ability. In theory, each horse should have an equal chance and that is why bookmakers like races such as the Welsh Grand National.
The Grand National tips to pick the winner of that race can be applied to this horse race competition. Win and forecasts bets should be avoided because of the number of runners and the nature of the race.
The best bets for this competition are place and each-way bets because five horses count for this type of bet. You can place tricasts bets on the Welsh Grand National, but these should be avoided.
This bet involves selecting the horses to finish in the first three in correct or any order.
Runners that were Grand National tips in the past are popular for tricast bets. Even so, these are difficult predictions to get right so should be avoided when placing bets on this horse racing competition.
Welsh Grand National History
The Welsh Grand National is the biggest and most famous race run in Wales. There is often a huge crowd at Chepstow and the race takes place when many local people are on holiday from work. The race was first run in 1895 and was first staged in December in 1979.
Due to the race distance and premium on jumping the race is a good trial for the Grand National.
The time between the races means horses can run in both races and many runners in this festival are then Grand National tips. No horse has won this competition three times.
Welsh Grand National Betting Markets
Here are the main betting markets for this competition:
- Each way
- Number of finishers
- Betting without the favourite
- Head to head
The same range of bets is available for horses who are Grand National tips.
Best bookmakers to bet on the Welsh Grand National 2020
The best bookmakers listed below are our opinions and are subjective. Every bookmaker that offers odds on horse racing will publish betting markets for the Welsh Grand National.
However, Paddy Power, Betfair and William Hill are the best based on the research undertaken for this article.
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Each bookmaker listed in the table has a welcome offer for new customers and offers a full range of betting market for the Welsh Grand National.