Welsh Grand National 2022
The Welsh Grand National is a handicap chase run over three miles and six and a half furlongs at Chepstow racecourse between Christmas and New Year. The race is one of the most important staying chases of the season, it’s run over slightly more than two circuits at Chepstow, and there are 23 obstacles. Since 2003, two Welsh Grand National winners have gone on to win the Aintree Grand National and two have won the Cheltenham Gold Cup.
There’s no racing in Britain and Ireland for three days before Christmas and on Christmas Day, but racing starts up again on Boxing Day. The Coral Welsh Grand National 2021 took place on 27th December, and the next running of this horse race will be on Tuesday 27 December 2022, at Chepstow.
Betting on the Welsh Grand National 2022
Bookmakers settle bets on the first four places at one quarter the odds in line with standard terms. However, some bookmakers pay out on the first five finishers. The best bets on this event are placed in ante-post markets. Most bookmakers offer Best Odds Guaranteed on the race. Bets are settled on the biggest price available which could have been early odds or the starting price.
During that period between Christmas and the New Year, the Welsh Grand National is one of the feature races. This race is also a good trial for the Grand National at Aintree in April. Once the result was known, some of the horses that ran well appeared in lists of Grand National tips and the horses that run well in the race often attract attention in the Aintree Grand National betting markets straight after if also entered in that Liverpool race.
There were actually two Welsh Grand Nationals held in 2021, with the delayed December 2020 race being run in January 2021 due to waterlogging at Chepstow Racecourse. The ante post favourite was Secret Reprieve, trained by Evan Williams in Wales and ridden by Adam Wedge. The gelding was well backed on the day of the race and duly obliged by three lengths as the 5/2 favourite. The Welsh Grand National 2021 was held in December 2021, as Secret Reprieve set out to retain his crown. He went off as 6/1 favourite, and duly made it round the Chepstow course, but this time finished last of the five horses to successfully finish the race. This let Iwilldoit in to win the Welsh National at 13/2, under Stan Sheppard. It is yet to be seen whether he, or indeed Secret Reprieve, will return in 2022 and where they’ll feature in the Welsh Grand National betting.
Welsh National Runners 2022
Iwilldoit won the December 2021 Welsh Grand National as the 13/2 second favourite. It was actually his second win at Chepstow in the month, having already triumphed in the Welsh Grand National Trial. These wins brought Iwilldoit into contention for the 2022 Aintree Grand National, alongside previous winner Secret Reprieve and several of the other runners.
It will likely be later in 2022 before we find out the runners and riders for the 2022 Welsh National. So, in the meantime, let’s reflect on last December’s race, where Iwilldoit overcame a badly hampered start to chase down the early leaders and eventually win the race comfortably by nine lengths.
Here’s the official result for Welsh Grand National 2021:
|1||Iwilldoit||13/2||Sam Thomas||Stan Sheppard|
|2||Highland Hunter||11/1||Paul Nicholls||Harry Cobden|
|3||Truckers Lodge||28/1||Paul Nicholls||Lorcan Williams|
|4||Achille||26/1||Venetia Williams||Hugh Nugent|
|5||Secret Reprieve||6/1 fav||Evan Williams||Adam Wedge|
20 horses ran in total, but only these five finished the race.
Welsh Grand National Betting Trends
The most recent dual winners of this competition are Bonanza Boy (1988 and 1989) and Mountainous (2013 and 2014). The winning jockey in 2018 was Tom O’Brien, who also rode the winner in 2009. He is the only multiple winning jockey this century.
Colin Tizzard has now trained the winner in two of the last 6 years.
Trends and Past Winners for Welsh Grand National 2022
Here are records of recent Grand National winners and some key trends:
Recent Welsh National Winners
2021 – Iwilldoit (13/2)
2020 – Secret Reprieve (5/2 fav)
2019 – Potters Corner (8/1)
2018 – Elegant Escape (3/1 fav)
2017 – Raz De Maree (16/1)
2016 – Native River (11/4 fav)
2015 – Mountainous (9/1)
2014 – Emperor’s Choice (9/1)
2013 – Mountainous (20/1)
2012 – Monbeg Dude (10/1)
2011 – Le Beau Bai (10/1)
2010 – Synchronised (5/1)
2009 – Dream Alliance (20/1)
2008 – Notre Pere (16/1)
2007 – Miko de Beauchene (13/2)
2006 – Halcon Genelardais (7/1)
2005 – L’Aventure (14/1)
2004 – Silver Birch (10/3 fav)
2003 – Bindaree (10/1)
2002 – Mini Sensation (8/1)
Key Welsh National Betting Trends
19/19 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
19/19 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
18/19 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
17/19 – Aged 9 or younger
17/19 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
15/19 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
13/19 – Aged 8 or younger
13/19 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
12/19 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
13/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
10/19 – Irish bred
9/19 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
8/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
5/19 – French-bred
5/19 – Had run in the Welsh National before
4/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Colin Tizzard
2/19 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/19 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
The average SP of the winners over the last 18 years is about 10/1. Elegant Escape was aged six when winning in 2018 so is the youngest winner this century. Since 2010 three of the winners carried 11 stones or more. Native River carried most weight when winning the race in 2016.
Since 2002 seven winners of this horse race started at double figure odds. The winning horses were in the SP range from 4/1 to 20/1. Twelve winners were returned at less than 10/1 which is relatively high for such a competitive handicap.
Some of the horses that ran well in this horse racing competition became leading contenders and popular Grand National tips. Both races are run over extreme distances which means horses that are suited to the Welsh Grand National are also suited to the main Grand National.
Welsh Grand National Bets to Avoid
There’s usually a field of 20 runners in this horse race competition so it’s difficult to identify the winner. The race is a handicap which means each horse is weighted on form and ability. In theory, each horse should have an equal chance and that’s why bookmakers like races such as the Welsh Grand National.
The Grand National tips to pick the winner of that race can be applied to this horse race competition. Win and forecasts bets should be avoided because of the number of runners and the nature of the race.
The best bets for this competition are place and each-way bets because five horses count for this type of bet. You can place tricasts bets on the Welsh Grand National, but these should be avoided.
This bet involves selecting the horses to finish in the first three in correct or any order.
Runners that were Grand National tips in the past are popular for tricast bets. Even so, these are difficult predictions to get right so should be avoided when placing bets on this horse racing competition.
Welsh Grand National History
The Welsh Grand National is the biggest and most famous race run in Wales. There’s often a huge crowd at Chepstow and the race takes place when many local people are on holiday from work. The race was first run in 1895 and was first staged in December in 1979.
Due to the race distance and premium on jumping the race is a good trial for the Grand National.
The time between the races means horses can run in both races and many runners in this festival are then Grand National tips. No horse has won this competition three times.
Welsh Grand National Betting Markets
Here are the main betting markets for this competition:
- Each way
- Number of finishers
- Betting without the favourite
- Head to head
The same range of bets is available for horses who are Grand National tips.
Best bookmakers to bet on the Welsh Grand National 2022
The best bookmakers listed below are our opinions and are subjective. Every bookmaker that offers odds on horse racing will publish betting markets for the Welsh Grand National.
However, Paddy Power, Betfair and William Hill are the best based on the research undertaken for this article.
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Each bookmaker listed in the table has a welcome offer for new customers and offers a full range of betting market for the Welsh Grand National.